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Silver supply model

The silver market has run short of new metal for years, and the gap is covered by drawing down vaults. Move the sliders to change mine output, recycling, industrial demand or fund buying, and see how quickly the deliverable metal in COMEX, Shanghai and London would run down at that rate.

Annual shortfall

47 M oz

demand above supply

Days of supply left

8,354

+0 vs today's balance

% of annual demand

96.7%

1076 M oz in vaults now

Where the vault figure comes from

COMEX registered · as of Oct 23, 2026

Published every US business day, about one day behind the vault activity it reports.

Shanghai SHFE · as of 2026-10-26

Published every Shanghai trading day after the close; no update on Chinese public holidays.

LBMA London · as of Sep 2026

Published once a month, roughly 2–3 months after the month it covers.

Each date is the exchange's own latest published report, not today's date. London always looks older because LBMA reports monthly in arrears.

866 M oz

New silver from mines. Most of it is a by-product of copper, lead, zinc and gold mining, so it does not rise quickly when the silver price does.

200 M oz

Scrap coming back into the market. Rises with the price, but most industrial silver is used in thin layers that are uneconomic to recover.

646 M oz

Solar, electronics, vehicles and brazing. Solar panels are the fastest-growing single use and are largely price-insensitive.

0 M oz

Net metal bought by physically backed funds. Positive numbers pull bars out of London vaults; negative numbers return them.

How the model works

  • Supply is mine output plus recycling. Demand is industrial use, plus a fixed 467 M oz for coins, bars, jewellery, silverware and photography, plus net fund buying.
  • The shortfall is demand minus supply. Days of supply divides the live deliverable vault total by that shortfall spread evenly across the year.
  • Vault totals are live from COMEX, Shanghai SHFE and LBMA London. The annual supply and demand figures are published survey estimates, not live readings, and the model spreads them evenly across the year.
  • This is a simplified balance, not a forecast. Real markets adjust through price, borrowing, leasing and metal held outside these vaults.

Informational only. Nothing here is investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security or metal. Figures are estimates and may be inaccurate or out of date.

Legal & compliance

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Prices, exchange rates, vault inventories, and supply/demand figures come from third-party sources and are shown for information only. They may be delayed, estimated, revised, or wrong, and some figures (including historical vault snapshots, retail prices, premiums, and monthly forecasts) are illustrative estimates. Data labeled live may still be delayed by its provider. Vault categories and availability do not prove that metal is unavailable for delivery. Verify all figures with the named primary source before relying on them.

Triple-digit dates, price paths, ratios, days-of-supply figures, and other forward-looking statements are hypothetical scenarios, not forecasts or guarantees. Past performance does not predict future results. To the fullest extent permitted by law, VaultDrain provides the site “as is,” makes no warranty of accuracy, availability, or fitness for a particular purpose, and is not liable for losses arising from use of the site.

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